In a world where medium and long term trends for energy and commodities tend to differ or even diverge, it is important for companies to have reliable information on such trends if they are to devise effective strategies and make optimal investments.

That is why, as part of its forecast department, we have developed a set of appropriate statistical tools allowing it to anticipate and simulate energy and raw material market trends in the medium and long terms. These econometric models, established using annual and 20 years of historical data provide medium and long-term forecasts for the consumption, production and prices of these materials based on outlooks for the macroeconomic and sectoral environments.

These forecasts, intended for all of the sector’s participants (producers, users, etc.), are the subject of two publications a year that analyse the environment and determinants of supply and demand for commodities.

File table of contents

I – THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

• 1. The monetary and financial environment
  
• 2. The energy environment
  
• 3. The international economic outlook
  
  • World growth and foreign trade
    
  • Activity outlook for the main economic areas: USA, Europe and Asia

II – THE WORLD MARKET FOR MATERIAL X

• 1. World demand for material X
  
• 2. World supply of material X
  
• 3. International trading of material X
  
• 4. Stocks of material X
  
• 5. Prices of material X