MEDIUM-TERM SPARE PART SALES FORECASTS
Forecasts on trends in the car industry and their impact on spare part consumption are of great importance in working out medium and long-term development strategies and allow changes in the many socio-economic and technological parameters to be taken into account.
It is to meet car equipment manufacturing and distributing companies’ need for information that the I + C Institute, which specialises in economic and business modelling, has developed a set of statistical tools (econometric models) suited to the car industry.
These forecasts lead to two publications a year, the table of contents of which is provided as an example below:
I – Outlook for the economic environment in the period between 2005-2008
- World economic activity and international trade
- Energy outlook
- Monetary and financial outlook
- Activity forecast by economic area
II – Outlook for the French economy
- Budgetary policy trends
- Growth and inflation outlooks
- Employment and the labour market
III – The car industry – Forecasts for the period between 2005-2008
- Determinants of the sector’s trend (revenue, consumption, unemployment, interest rate, fuel costs, etc.)
- New vehicle registrations
- Total number and main vehicle categories
IV – Spare part consumption – Forecasts for the period between 2005-2008
- Analysis of the total number of vehicles according to the age of the vehicles and their technical specifications
- Consumption forecasts for the different families of spare parts
